Category Archives: Performance

If They Are Making the Call, I Am Going The Other Way

Carl and I really are chumps in the world of which we speak, which is mostly the stock market.  I heard someone say that the stock market was the bond markets idiot little brother.  I have to agree.  Sometimes the … Continue reading

Posted in Humor, Performance, Stocks, The Big Picture | 2 Comments

2009 Stock Selections – Performance Review

Every year I select six stocks and each portfolio selects two of those stocks to invest in. This post looks back on how my 2009 stock selections performed. The short answer is, not too well. The average of the six … Continue reading

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More Good News

This is making my FPRS position look better and better.  I like how they give soooo much credit to Alan Mulally, when in reality he has an army of middle managers who are doing all the hard work while he … Continue reading

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FPRS and Alternative Investments

Stocks are a big part of any portfolio.  But they can’t be the end all - I don’t care how diverse you are in choosing those stocks.  To that end, I try to find other types of investments so not only am … Continue reading

Posted in Carl's Hero Alan Mulally, Fixed Income, Performance, Stocks | 4 Comments

Dartboard

Carl is getting ready for his stock picks for the next portfolio and I am going to play along this time, with a twist.  I am going to take an equivalent amount of money from Carl’s portfolio and go dartboard.  … Continue reading

Posted in Announcements, Humor, Performance, Portfolio Tracking, Stocks | 2 Comments

Contrarian Investing

I have been blogging for a long time at several other sites.  Back in the day I used to fisk articles by Pa*l Krugm*n.  After doing this a few times it was very apparent that Krugm*n was just another partisan … Continue reading

Posted in Performance, The Big Picture | 2 Comments

Market Timing

In the past I, like many general investors, shied away from the concept of market timing. It was viewed as too difficult, and many investors left the markets when stocks went down and then missed the rally on the way … Continue reading

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Realism Required On Stock Returns

Gail Marks Jarvis is a columnist for the Chicago Tribune on financial matters. The Tribune recently combined their personal finance and real estate sections into one section, which seems to make sense. Ms Marks Jarvis provides financial advice. In a … Continue reading

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Leverage, dividends and our insanely low interest rates

Like the famous Seinfeld episode where Kramer struggles to figure out how to profit from the fact that Michigan offers a 10 cent return on recycled bottles, I have been starting at this ad from Interactive Brokers for some time … Continue reading

Posted in Performance, Stocks | 1 Comment

We are Wrong on Rate of Return

In this article titled “Why Many Investors Keep Fooling Themselves” by Jason Zweig from the Wall Street Journal, Mr. Zweig does an excellent job of explaining why individuals assume that they will receive a rate of return that is too … Continue reading

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How to Track Performance

In a recent post analyzing the performance of Portfolio One (the longest-lived portfolio) I included an excel spreadsheet with performance information. This excel spreadsheet was built over a number of years and I refined it to include more and more … Continue reading

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Analyzing Performance – Portfolio One

Background on Portfolio One The first portfolio of my trust funds was set up right after the attack in September, 2001.  It seemed to be an inauspicious time to invest in stocks.  However, since these trust funds have a long … Continue reading

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Regression to the Mean

A recent Wall Street Journal titled “Rebound of the Losers” from July 6, 2009 described how some specific actively managed mutual funds with large losses recently booked better performance. From the article Ninety-four diversified U.S.- stock funds that finished 2008 … Continue reading

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What I’ve Learned About the Stock Market

Anyone who has a retirement fund or personal investments has an interest in the stock market.  I have an additional interest because I am the fiduciary in charge of trust funds and describe at this site. When the stock market … Continue reading

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Negative Net Worth

The Chicago Tribune business section has a series where readers write in with their financial issues and the columnists seek professional help and recommendations and publish the results. This column is titled “Law Degree on Her Side” and shows the … Continue reading

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Covariance

One of the features of the stock market lately is that stocks tend to move in unison.  On a given day when the stock market goes up, it seems like almost every stock is buoyed in price.  On the other … Continue reading

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One of My Favorite Investing Books in Context

I was reading a Wall Street Journal column by James Stewart recently. He has a column called “Common Sense” which outlines his approach to selecting stocks and investing. His strategy involves buying when the stock market drops 10% and then … Continue reading

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Actively Managed Mutual Funds

In the “efficient markets” hypothesis, all available information is factored into the stock price, making attempts to “beat the market” by selecting your own stocks a fool’s errand. Index funds, which were originally stock mutual funds, such as those at … Continue reading

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Updating Portfolio Performance for October, 2008

There are three portfolios that we are currently running. Portfolio One (since 2001) performance can be downloaded below Portfolio One PDF October 2008 . Portfolio Two (since 2004) performance can be downloaded below Portfolio Two PDF October 2008 Portfolio Three … Continue reading

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